🎲 Monte Carlo Simulation Results
10,000 Scenarios Based on Market Volatility
What is This? Monte Carlo simulation runs 10,000 different scenarios
using historical market volatility. This shows the range of possible outcomes - from worst-case to best-case -
giving you a realistic view of investment risk and reward.
Worst 10% of Scenarios
$0
10th percentile outcome
Median Outcome (50th %ile)
$0
Most likely outcome
Best 10% of Scenarios
$0
90th percentile outcome
Confidence Range
$0
80% of outcomes fall within this range
📉 Inflation-Adjusted (Today's Dollars)
🎯 Goal Achievement Probability
Probability of Reaching Goal
0%
Target: $0 | Success in 0 of 10,000 scenarios
Understanding the Results: The median (50th percentile) is the most likely outcome.
80% of scenarios fall between the 10th and 90th percentiles. This range shows the impact of market volatility
on your investment. Historical S&P 500 volatility: ~15% annually.
📈 Probability Cone Visualization
The shaded area shows the range where 80% of outcomes fall (10th to 90th percentile)
📊 Distribution of Final Outcomes
Histogram showing frequency of different final balance outcomes across 10,000 scenarios